Sunday, August 21, 2011

How I'll Be Voting


A few years ago I wrote about a raft of policy positions; with another presidential race around the corner, it is time to think seriously about the criteria by which I will be judging candidates. Here are the issues I will be looking at. But first, the red herrings.

The Right to Life. I am firmly committed to the rights and dignity of every human being and I am profoundly opposed to the legalization of the murder of unborn children. With such strong convictions, you might expect this to be a major issue for me this election cycle; after all, for many people of similar convictions, this is the litmus test. But the problem I have come to see is that few pro-life candidates are in a position to do much. As things stand, the question of abortion is primarily a matter for the judiciary, not the legislature or the executive. Moreover, cynics would say that the Republican Party uses the pro-life issue to get votes, but drags its feet on actually ending abortion, lest it lose this powerful source of votes. I wouldn't go that far, but I certainly concede that merely saying one is pro-life, or even voting the right way on certain bills, will effect little change. If I see a true pro-life campaigner - and I haven't yet - I'll take note, but otherwise this issue is low on my radar.

Foreign Policy & Defense. A robust foreign policy is close to my heart for a variety of reasons, but it will not be a major issue for me this cycle. Why? Even in lean and unpopular years, the Department of Defense will likely remain well-funded. This does not mean that certain items which ought to be funded always will be, but at the general level - and when are elections really about specifics? - Congress and the American people will not stand for the total evisceration of the DoD. In some ways the more important questions involve funding of intelligence (especially counterintelligence), public diplomacy and other matters which are unlikely to make their way into the debate. But the other reason I'm not paying much attention to foreign policy positions is that they change. Presidential campaigns are run almost entirely on domestic issues; foreign policy positions are little more than fluff, and are usually overtaken by events. George W. Bush campaigned against Clinton-style nation-building projects. Then September 11th happened and the calculus changed. Barack Obama was perceived as the candidate to get us out of foreign wars; while there has been draw-down in Iraq, one is hard pressed to believe that a Republican would have wielded the military in a significantly different way. While his Cairo speech got him off to a good start engaging the Muslim world, that project was eventually swamped by unfolding events and long-standing realities on the ground.

So if those issues will receive only limited attention, where will I be looking?

Debt. This issue has been in the news of late; I think as a country we are finally beginning to understand the overwhelming size of our government's debt and the dangers it poses to our economic well-being. More than high or low taxes or spending, I want to see balanced budgets. A balanced budget amendment - as a serious measure, and not just a symbolic campaign - may be in order. Bringing the debt under control will ultimately require reform of entitlements and DoD's procurement process (which eats up massive portions of the defense budget with little gain), though for now I simply want to see a commitment to solvency.

Tax Code. America's tax code is mammoth. A last count it was roughly ten times the length of the Bible, and still growing. Aside from keeping accountants employed, this labyrinthine code does our country no good. It erodes transparency, wastes resources and imposes a daunting barrier to opening a new business. Reforming the tax code will be a huge undertaking, but it needs to be done. If cutting down the current version is too much, perhaps we could simply borrow Estonia's or Georgia's. Georgia has only half a dozen taxes, with a code shorter than an undergraduate paper. The result has been strong economic growth and a dramatic drop in corruption, often eclipsing developed countries of Western Europe on both counts. And this from a post-Soviet republic starting from a very poor position. Estonia's story is quite similar.

Immigration. I have written about immigration once or twice before. There are three basic issues here that must be addressed, more or less together: (1) Our borders must be secured and illegal immigration brought under control. Sovereign countries have a right to decide who does and does not enter, and to exercise that right for the good of their economy and security. (2) The immigration process must be reformed. High-tech companies are constantly having to lobby for more H-1B visas and less red tape, as they are having trouble bringing in skilled workers from overseas. Likewise, the difficulty of legally entering the US as an unskilled guest worker is a constant encouragement to illegal immigration. (3) There are millions of illegal aliens living in the US, somewhere on the order of 10 or 12 million. Their presence cannot be ignored in the process of comprehensive immigration reform.

Education. We have tried to make our schools accountable through No Child Left Behind and various state-wide testing and incentive programs. The effort has generally been judged a failure due to (a) bureaucratic bungling, (b) cheating and (c) an unwillingness to hold feet to the fire. But, frankly, the greatest obstacle to school reform have been the unions (as the recent documentary, Waiting for Superman, points out). There is little doubt that a confrontation with the NEA and other major unions will have to be fought before we have real school reform. Any candidate who vows to smash the NEA certainly has my attention. Less dramatically, I'll be looking for candidates who advocate school choice, with open enrollment, more charter schools and vouchers.

Marriage. I find may aspects of the culture wars off-putting. However, recent events have begun to convince me that so-called gay marriage may be the key moral question of our day. I am not opposed to equal taxes or hospital visitation rights for same-sex partners - be they sexual partners, of the sort who get all the media attention, or simply life-long bachelor roommates. What I find disconcerting, rather, is the attempt to use the government to re-define marriage, apart from any benefits it might carry. Some argue that the distinction between state-sanctioned marriage and church-sanctioned marriage will always exist, and churches are welcome to define marriage however they like. In the first place, I do not trust that churches will be allowed to define marriage for themselves. We have already seen in the Diocese of Washington attempts by the civil government to impose its definition. Moreover, I pose the following scenario to you: what if Congress passed laws for the "ordaining" of certain "ministers" to "consecrate the Eucharist". Clearly, a violation of the prerogatives of churches and an affront to most Christians. Some might argue that it is primarily the buzz words here that make this proposition outrageous. But I would argue that this is because words carry meaning. Ministers are different from officials or counselors; that's why we have different terms for them. I can accept same-sex unions, but not same-sex "marriages". This is not, as some have argued, a matter of natural rights, since (a) no one has a right to a vocation (cf. CCC 1578) and (b) same-sex attraction is contrary to nature. Within the American context, same-sex unions may be a civil right, an outgrowth of our social contract, but as such they are subject to debate and should be recognized as conferred by the will of the polity, and not by right. I'll be looking for a candidate who can articulate some of that.

6 comments:

Stephen said...

I thought it might be a little early to be talking about the 2012 election, but apparently it's not. Public Discourse has just launched a ten-day symposium on the election that looks promising.

As for immigration, I can't help but think that there's something fundamentally wrong if our country of 300 million can't fill jobs--both high-paying and low-paying--with Americans and instead relies on cheap foreign labor. I work mostly with poor Hispanic immigrants, and I suppose that has made me doubt that immigration reform can ever be serious unless American companies could somehow be made to stop skirting laws against hiring illegals.

I whole-heartedly agree about need for reform of the tax code. I took two semesters of tax law but feel like I only scratched the surface.

I also am getting the feeling that marriage will be the decisive moral issue in the next couple decades. Illinois this past year allowed for civil unions and also decided not to renew its foster care contract with Catholic adoption agencies because they would not assign children to gay couples.

Barry said...

One thing strikes me about the whole marriage/civil union thing: Might we be wading into an area of way unintended consequences? I don't mean those of us engaging in the debate, I mean society writ large.

The notion of insurance is what got me thinking about it. The problem with actuarial finance (to call it anything else, more or less, is dishonest) is that it deals, almost exclusively, with past circumstances, the way people used to act or the treatments we used to have. It also relies upon large populations, to make the math work. These basic principles--among other things--are why the housing market collapsed and why ObamaCare is wretched: people didn't/won't/can't do what they're "supposed" to do.

But I digress.

The point is: No man is an island; no act (esp. one as significant as marriage) occurs in a vacuum. Every sin (both secular and spiritual) counts. True enough, the incremental effect of a clod of dirt lost from Europe is minimal, which seems to be the argument--viz. I don't see how it affects me, so I don't care--but that doesn't make it right.

Really, I'm rambling and should probably retire for the evening. But I am sincere. I'm not sure what will happen if marriage is further degraded in society, if pornography is futher normalized, and children are seen as more "burden" than "blessing"--but I am pretty sure it's not good.

Barry said...

P.S. John Donne's brilliant critique of man's mutual effect on his fellows is NOT applicable to the Supreme Court's interpretation of the "Commerce Clause". That is to say: Wickard sucks!

Paul said...

Aaron--

Not a bad approach really, but I'd challenge you to be less ambiguous about immigration. What should be done about the millions currently here illegally? There's quite a range of responses ranging from efforts like the recent Alabama law which essentially criminalizing treating illegal immigrants like people, or some form of amnesty at the other extreme. (I think you know that I favor amnesty with some simple registration so that we know who's here--those of good will could live and work in peace and those of ill-will would stand out more readily to law-enforcement.)

Also, regarding the 'gay marriage' question, it sounds like you're essentially viewing it in terms of religious freedom. People can do what they want, and they can call it what they want, enjoying tax benefits, etc.... except when it becomes a matter of forcing others to act against their own beliefs. So, for example, a Christian adoption agency must be allowed the right to refuse to place children into homes with gay couples. A bridal shop owner must be allowed to refuse to serve lesbian couples. A pastor must not be forced to perform 'gay marriage' ceremonies, etc. In all of these cases, one could easily find people who would happily work with the gay couple, so why should those who object be stripped of their freedom of conscience?

I do not think any candidate will be able to speak intelligently on the gay marriage topic, not if he's to be viable. Too many voters won't have it--more and more people see sexual preference as akin to skin color. They're unable or unwilling to see the difference between who one is and what one's desires are.

Patrick said...

I agree with your comments regarding right-to-life issues, including the idea that this is rests primarily in the realm of the judiciary. Let me list 4 names: John Roberts, Sam Alito, Sonia Sotomayor, and Elena Kagan. I would say that the first two will likely uphold right-to-life issues, while the second would oppose them. The choice of president has a significant impact on the justices; I doubt Sotomayor or Kagan would have been nominiated had McCain won.

Aaron Linderman said...

Paul, you've hit the nail on the head regarding same-sex marriage: it is a question of freedom of conscience.

Regarding the details of immigration reform, specifically what we do with those here, some kind of amnesty is needed. I think most reasonable people - let us hope there are a number of them left - would agree that a child brought illegally to the US when only a couple years old, who has grown up here and knows no one in his country of origin, ought not be deported. He should be able to regularize his status with relative ease. What of parents whose children are US citizens? We could probably brainstorm additional cases along these lines.

I favor an approach which allows most illegal residents to regularize their status, assuming their record once here has been clean. Likewise, I favor fairly stiff penalties for those subsequently violate the law, though I suspect that number would be a small proportion.

If my original comment was a bit vague, it was because at this point I am interested simply in hearing candidates discuss these issues. As often as I hear wrong approaches to them, I hear nothing at all, which is frequently just as dangerous.